For the first time this year, NASCAR will be under the lights when the 2019 Toyota Owners 400 gets underway at 7:30 p.m. ET on Saturday at Richmond Raceway. Kyle Busch enters 2019 NASCAR at Richmond as the leader in the NASCAR Dragon Energy Cup standings with 361 points. He is searching for his fourth win of the year and also the 2019 Toyota Owners 400 odds give him a 9-4 opportunity to get it starts in fifth place after qualifying. Kevin Harvick had the quickest speed in qualifying at 124.29 MPH, providing him the pole position. His NASCAR in Richmond chances have moved from 7-1 to 9-2. Martin Truex Jr. (6-1), Joey Logano (8-1) and Brad Keselowski (10-1) are among the other leading contenders at this .75-mile brief course. Before locking in any 2019 Toyota Owners 400 selections of your own, first be sure to have a look at the NASCAR predictions from the proven computer model at SportsLine.
Produced by DFS expert and SportsLine predictive information scientist Mike McClure, this proprietary NASCAR prediction model simulates every race 10,000 times, taking factors like track record and current results into consideration.
The model is off to a solid start in NASCAR this season, calling Daytona 500 champion Denny Hamlin that a top-four contender from the beginning. It nailed eight of the top 10 drivers in the Pennzoil 400, which included putting winner Joey Logano in its projected top five. Additionally, it nailed Busch’s huge win at Bristol a week. Anyone who has followed its picks is way up.
McClure, who has a mechanical engineering degree, grew up around race tracks. Big events at iconic places like Richmond Raceway have been in his bloodstream. Now, his model mimicked the 2019 Toyota Owners 400 10,000 times and the results were surprising.
For NASCAR in Richmond 2019, we could inform you the version is top on Kyle Larson, who makes a solid run at taking the checkered flag despite heading off at 25-1 NASCAR at Richmond chances.
Larson’s average finish at Richmond is 9.7, which is that the third-best among active drivers. He’s finished seventh or better in four of the last five events at Richmond and won the Richmond autumn race in 2017. He’ll start in 14th place after a slightly slower than anticipated qualifying period of 123.54 MPH. But he posted the quickest lap (121.70 MPH) at the first practice session on Friday, so he has shown the rate required to climb the NASCAR at Richmond leaderboard on Saturday evening.
And a huge shocker: Truex Jr., one of the top Vegas favorites at 6-1, does not crack the top five. There are far better worth in a loaded 2019 NASCAR in Richmond lineup.
The 39-year-old veteran is sitting at seventh in the standings, but he is tapered off recently. Truex finished 12th in Texas Motor Speedway after which struggled last week in Bristol, finishing 17th. In his profession, Truex has not fared very well at Richmond Raceway either. In reality, he’s finished in the top five only three times in 26 career starts at the monitor.
The model is also targeting two other drivers with 2019 Toyota Owners 400 chances of 20-1 or even longer to make a serious run at winning everything. Anybody who backs these long shots can hit it big.