This weekend, we have a 12-fight card in Canada. DraftKings has some strong competitions for us to acquire a great deal of cash from this week. The most important GPP is a $15 buy-in and $25k belongs to 1st place with a total of 100k being paid out. They also have a new Qualifier only competition for $175,000. There’ll be 100 qualifiers for that contest and they will compete for a $50k first location cost and $175k will probably be distributed between all 100 entries that qualify. I will try to get my 2nd seat this week if possible. Those Qualifier only contests can be real bankroll suckers, so be careful chasing those overly hard. I’ll probably stick to the top GPP this week and throw a handful of entries at the $25k prize, and then I will likely have a couple shots in the Q. I will also be posting H2Hs in addition to picking up H2Hs through the week to get a good quantity of drama into money games.
With that said, let’s get to a few plays I enjoy this week Together with my fade of the week:
Cash Game play of the week — Macy Chiasson — $9,400
Macy Chiasson is by far the safest play in the board this week and she has 100+ stage upside. She is a lock within my money matches this week and I don’t really see the way she loses. I believe a submission would be Moras’ best chance but she is not capable of finding the battle to the ground, so I see her becoming dominated on the feet before the ref measures. She is by far my favorite play in the 9k selection and she’s a -750 on the gambling line. I enjoy playing it safer in cash games and I believe she’s a safe win this week.
GPP drama of this week — Greg Hardy- $8,600
This is a simple one for me this week and he’ll be the chalk of the week. I will continue to be obese on Merab though. His style is precisely what we need on DraftKings. He has a nonstop speed and he shoots takedowns very often. He has 22 landed takedowns in his initial 3 UFC fights and that is his best route to victory in this matchup as well. Even with 2 losses on his album from these 3 fights, he averages more DK points than Katona does with his 2-0 UFC record. This is not my GPP play of the week since I understand he is going to win, I only know IF he wins that he will score highly, and he should easily reach value within an $8.6k price tag.
Underdog play of the week — Donald’Cowboy’ Cerrone — $7,800
I must select Cowboy as the puppy of the week. His fights are always action packed along with the winner of this fight will surely be on the first-place lineup. Particularly if it is Cowboy. He almost always scores over 100 points in his wins and he has 5-rounds to work with here. I don’t find a circumstance in which he wins and does not wind up on the $25k lineup. I’ll be overweight on Cowboy this week, but this really is an all-in struggle for me. If Cowboy isn’t in one of my lineups, you then are going to see Iaquinta there. I’m heavier on the Cowboy side though and I believe he gets the job done by entry.
Fade of this week — Elias Theodorou ($8,000)
I would be very surprised to see Theodorou on the 1st place lineup this week. I’d be amazed to see him get 10x his $8k cost and that’s why I have zero lineups together with him this week. Not counting his fight with Dan Kelly, his 4 wins earlier that scored 76, 69, 64, and 49. His style is simply not good for DraftKings. He is going to need to knock Brunson out whether he is going to score highly and that he is not a power puncher. I believe you’re better off taking Elias by TKO on the betting line in +870. I don’t see any reason to spend in him this week at GPPs because he doesn’t possess the ceiling we want to win that big $25k. I believe he is fine in cash games because a 65-point win wouldn’t kill us . But he is an easy fade of the week for me Saturday.
Thanks for reading this and great luck this weekend! If you would like my full-card breakdown where I breakdown every struggle on the card and also give my full DraftKings analysis, as well as all of my pick predictions, then you’ll find that for only $7.99 at this link below:
(Premium stakes are offered at that link too. I’m 71-45 for +233.79u (+$23,379) because May 19th, 2018 on Premium Plays)
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